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As per Gartner,
“Our 2021 Hype Cycle highlights emerging technologies that will significantly affect business and society over the next two to 10 years. It includes technologies that accelerate growth, engineer trust and bring order to the chaos of a changing world by sculpting change“.
The Hype Cycle
The Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies is unique among Gartner Hype Cycles because it distills insights from more than 1,500 technologies that Gartner profiles each year into a succinct set of “must-know” emerging technologies. We have selected the technologies on this Hype Cycle for their potential transformational benefits and their broad impact across business and society.
Themes in Emerging Technologies
This iteration of the Hype Cycle highlights three themes that align with Gartner’s overall themes for Hype Cycles as identified in the special report, 2021 Hype Cycles: Innovating Delivery Through Trust, Growth and Change. This year, emerging technologies focus on engineering trust, accelerating growth and sculpting change. These guiding principles are helping to drive the technologies and innovations needed to manage the change we all face.
At a minimum, trust demands security and reliability. However, here the trust also extends to building innovations as a resilient core and foundation for IT to deliver business value. This foundation must consist of engineered, repeatable, trusted, proven, and scalable working practices and innovations. Risk for business must be minimized or managed so that IT can deliver. Resilience is key from both a business and technology perspective. Scalable repeatability helps build a resilient business core.
To engineer trust, examine the following technologies:
- Sovereign cloud
- Machine-readable legislation
- Decentralized identity
- Decentralized finance
- Nonfungible tokens (NFT)
- Homomorphic encryption
- Active metadata management
- Data fabric
- Real-time incident center
- Employee communications applications
Once the trusted core business is established, recovery and growth can happen. Growth targets should be achievable. Here risk is manageable in incremental steps when managed against business needs. Technology risk is balanced with the appetite for business risk (using Hype Cycles), and near-term objectives are attainable. Once the innovation-led core is scaling, accelerated growth extends delivery and value. At this point, risk and agility enhance IT delivery toward more distant horizons.
To accelerate growth, explore the following critical technologies:
- Industry cloud
- AI-driven innovation
- Quantum ML
- Generative AI
- Digital humans
Change is traditionally disruptive and often tied to chaos, but organizations can use innovations to sculpt change and bring order to chaos. The art is to anticipate and auto-tune to the needs of change. Experience helps scale business drivers. Risk may help innovations adapt to sculpture change, but this risk must be manageable. So change can be sculpted, while delivery is being assessed.
To sculpt change, examine the following technologies:
- Composable applications
- Composable networks
- AI-augmented design
- AI-augmented software engineering
- Physics-informed AI
- Influence engineering
- Digital platform conductor tools
- Named data networking
- Self-integrating applications
The Priority Matrix illustrates the technologies mapped to the time frame by which they are expected to mature into mainstream adoption and deliver benefits, and the level and depth of benefits that can be expected from them.
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Gartner, Hype Cycle Emerging Technologies, 2021, 11 August 2021, Brian Burke, Melissa Davis, Philip Dawson.
Gartner does not endorse any vendor, product or service depicted in its research publications, and does not advise technology users to select only those vendors with the highest ratings or other designation. Gartner research publications consist of the opinions of Gartner’s research organization and should not be construed as statements of fact. Gartner disclaims all warranties, expressed or implied, with respect to this research, including any warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose.GARTNER and Hype Cycle are registered trademarks and service mark of Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates in the U.S. and internationally and are used herein with permission. All rights reserved.This graphic was published by Gartner, Inc. as part of a larger research document and should be evaluated in the context of the entire document. The Gartner document is available upon request from InfoCert S.P.A